摘要
新发展阶段,高质量发展成为我国社会经济发展的首要任务,绿色发展是其内在要求。为此,党中央统筹国内国际、着眼现在未来作出“碳中和”这一重大战略决策,着力解决资源环境约束的突出问题。增碳发展和减碳发展是碳中和发展的两个方面,综合评价全国增碳发展和减碳发展的情况,并进行耦合协调性分析具有重要的理论意义和实践价值。采用综合评价系统法和耦合协调度模型,评估我国31个省(区、市)2001—2020年增碳、减碳发展状况以及协调程度,发现:第一,全国呈现增碳发展缓慢、减碳发展迅速的趋势。相比2001年的指数结果,2020年20个省(区、市)的增碳发展综合评价系统指数有所增长,11个省(区、市)的指数有所降低,31个省(区、市)增速的平均值为4.00%;2020年29个省(区、市)的减碳发展综合评价系统指数有所增长,2个省(区、市)的指数有所降低,31个省(区、市)增速的平均值为38.38%。第二,从省际耦合协调度结果来看,2020年绝大多数省(区、市)的耦合协调度等级得到了提高,超过2/3的省(区、市)达到勉强协调及以上水平,总体发展态势良好。第三,从耦合协调度的关系特征来看,目前各省(区、市)发展不协调主要体现在减碳发展水平存在一定程度的滞后性。根据各省“中-中”“中-低”“高-低”等不同的增碳、减碳发展水平,勉强、初级、中级等不同的协调类型以及滞后特征,提出宣教、产业、科技等方面的差异化政策建议。
In the new stage of development,high-quality development has become our primary task,and green development has become the intrinsic requirement.Because of this,"carbon neutrality"is a major strategic decision taken by the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China in light of both domestic and international imperatives and focusing on both the current situation and the future.And this can be used to address acute resource and environmental constraints.Carburizing development and carbon reduction development are the two directions of the development of carbon neutrality,and comprehensively evaluating the national development of carburizing and carbon reduction and carrying out the coupling coordination analysis is of great theoretical significance and practical value.With the help of a comprehensive evaluation system and the coupling coordination model,the authors evaluate the development situation of the carburizing development and carbon reduction development and the degree of coordination of 31 provinces(autonomous regions and municipalities)from 2001 to2020.it is found that,first,the national development of carburizing is slow,and the development of carbon reduction is rising rapidly.Comparing to the year of 2001,in the year of 2020,the carburizing development comprehensive indices of 20 provinces(autonomous regions and municipalities)have been increased,that of 11 provinces(autonomous regions and municipalities)have been reduced,and the average growth rate of 31 provinces(autonomous regions and municipalities)is 4.00%;and in the year of2020,the carbon reduction development comprehensive indices of 29 provinces(autonomous regions and municipalities)have been increased,that of 2 provinces(autonomous regions and municipalities)have been reduced,and the average growth rate of31 provinces(autonomous regions and municipalities)is 38.38%.Second,the provincial coupling coordination show that:in the year 2020,the coupling coordination degrees of most of the provinces(autonomous regions and municipalities)have been increased;more than two-thirds provinces(autonomous regions and municipalities)have achieve the degree of reluctantly coordinated or above;and the general development trend is good.Third,the relation characteristics of coupling coordination show that,at present,the lack of coordination among provinces(autonomous regions and municipalities)is demonstrated in the lagged behind development level of carbon reduction.According to the the different development level of carburizing and carbon reduction(such as"middle-middle","middle-low",and"high-low")in different provinces,and the different coordination type(such as reluctant,primary,and medium)and the characteristic of lagging behind,some suggestions in terms of propaganda and education,industry,and science and technology have been put forward.
作者
李群
孙咏
刘基伟
LI Qun;SUN Yong;LIU Ji-wei(Institute of Quantitative and Technological Economics,CASS,Beijing 100732,China;Faculty of Applied Economics,UCASS,Beijing 102488,China)
出处
《中国流通经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2023年第2期8-17,共10页
China Business and Market
基金
国家社会科学基金重大项目“十四五时期我国经济有效防范滞胀路径研究”(21&ZD081)
中国林业生态发展促进会委托项目“《中国碳中和发展报告2021—2022》研究”(TY-2021-015-1)
中国社会科学院博士后创新项目“武陵山生态文明特色村寨益贫式乡村振兴研究”(IQTE202003)。
关键词
碳中和
增碳发展
减碳发展
耦合协调度
carbon neutrality
carburizing development
carbon reduction development
coupling coordination degree
