摘要
文章利用2006—2019年52个“一带一路”沿线国家的数据,实证检验了中国OFDI促进沿线国家产业结构升级的程度和效果以及作用机理的中介效应。研究表明:中1国OFDI能够显著促进沿线国家产业结构升级并随着沿线国家产业结构升级水平的提升,中国OFDI的边际效应呈“倒U”型趋势;中国OFDI促进沿线国家产业结构升级的资本供给效应、技术溢出效应和贸易促进效应的中介效应显著。此外,“一带一路”倡议有助于加强中国OFDI的促进程度和效果;中国不同转移类型OFDI促进沿线国家产业结构升级的程度和效果以及中国OFDI促进不同收入水平和不同区域沿线国家产业结构升级的程度和效果均存在显著异质性。研究结论对于中国在“一带一路”倡议下开展OFDI促进沿线国家产业结构升级以及推动高质量共建“一带一路”具有重要的政策启示。
Using the data of 52 countries along"the Belt and Road"from 2006 to 2019,this paper empirically tests the degree and effect of China′s OFDI in promoting the upgrading of industrial structure of countries along"the Belt and Road",as well as the mediating effect of the mechanism.The research shows that China′s OFDI can significantly promote the upgrading of the industrial structure of countries along"the Belt and Road".With the upgrading of the industrial structure of countries along"the Belt and Road",the marginal effect of China′s OFDI shows an"inverted U"trend;China′s OFDI promotes the industrial structure upgrading of countries along"the Belt and Road",which has a significant mediating effect of capital supply effect,technology spillover effect,and trade promotion effect.In addition,"the Belt and Road"initiative helps to strengthen the promotion and effectiveness of OFDI in China;there is the significant heterogeneity in the degree and effect of China′s OFDI in promoting the upgrading of industrial structure in countries along"the Belt and Road",as well as the degree and effect of China′s OFDI in promoting the upgrading of industrial structure in countries along"the Belt and Road"at different income levels and in different regions.The research conclusion has important policy implications for China to carry out OFDI under"the Belt and Road"initiative,promote the upgrading of industrial structure of countries along"the Belt and Road",and promote the high-quality joint construction of"the Belt and Road".
作者
王晖
陈志华
李童侠
WANG Hui;CHEN Zhihua;LI Tongxia(Business School,Hubei University,Wuhan 430062,China;The Belt and Road School,Beijing Normal University,Zhuhai 519085,China)
出处
《华东经济管理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2022年第8期86-96,共11页
East China Economic Management
基金
国家社会科学基金重大项目“‘一带一路’投资安全保障体系研究”(19ZDA100)
国家社会科学基金“一带一路”专项重点项目“充分利用高质量共建‘一带一路’有效应对中美贸易战研究”(19VDL012)
广东省基础与应用基础研究基金省市联合基金项目“高质量发展背景下中国制造业对‘一带一路’沿线国家直接投资的产业升级效应研究”(2021A1515110044)。
