摘要
棉花产业是新疆生产建设兵团的支柱产业,为了研究社会性因素对棉花产量是否有显著影响,选取影响棉花产量的基本因素和嵌入性因素,建立多层统计模型,利用Eviews6.0软件和最小二乘法原理对所选变量进行多元线性回归分析,结果表明:一层变量对棉花产量影响都是正向的;二层变量中结构嵌入、经济嵌入、市场文化嵌入对棉花产量的间接影响是正向作用的,城市文化嵌入、政策嵌入对棉花产量的间接影响是负向的。因此,对于棉花产量的稳产或者增产既要考虑基本因素,也要考虑嵌入性因素。
Cotton industry is a pillar industry of the Xinjiang production and construction corps,In order to study the social factors on the cotton production has remarkable effect on whether to select the basic factors affecting cotton production and embedded factors,And establishing multi-layer statistical model,by using Eviews6.0 software and least square method for the selected variables to multiple linear regression analysis,the results show that:a layer of variables is positive effects on cotton production;The indirect effects of structure embedding,economic embedding and market culture embedding on cotton yield are positive,while the indirect effects of urban culture embedding and policy embedding on cotton yield are negative.Therefore,both basic factors and embeddability factors should be considered for stable or increased cotton yield.
作者
周子渭
马琼
Zhou Ziwei;Ma Qiong(College of Economics and Managemeng,Tarim University,Alar,Xinjiang 843300)
出处
《塔里木大学学报》
2020年第4期76-85,共10页
Journal of Tarim University
基金
南京农业大学联合基金项目“新疆塔里木河流域农业绿色发展研究”(NNLH201905)
自治区研究生科研创新项目“环境规制约束下南疆棉农棉花生产环境保护行为研究”(XJ2020G285)。