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广西不同地区新型冠状病毒肺炎的流行特征 被引量:22

The epidemic characteristics of COVID-19 in different regions of Guangxi
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摘要 目的通过对广西壮族自治区2020年1月23日至2月16日期间的新型冠状病毒肺炎(COVID-19)的流行情况进行统计,了解COVID-19疫情在广西不同地区的流行特征,为疫情防控提供参考依据。方法从广西壮族自治区卫生健康委员会官方网站获取全广西的COVID-19疫情数据,分析广西各城市疾病流行的特征并利用ArcGIS 10.6软件绘制广西不同时间点确诊病例时空分布地图。结果截至2020年2月16日,广西COVID-19的累计发病数为238例,累计发病率为0.48/10万,重症病例4例,危重病例7例,死亡2例。广西的确诊病例主要集中在南宁(51例,占21.43%)、北海(43例,占18.07%)和桂林(31例,占13.03%);北海(2.56/10万)和防城港(1.89/10万)的累计发病率明显高于其他城市,差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。各城市每日新增病例数逐渐减少,整体上呈现下降趋势;其中来宾在2月4日前无确诊病例,之后5 d内病例显著上升(11例),2月9日后无新增病例。结论广西COVID-19疫情进展平缓,且得到一定程度的控制,每日新增病例数总体呈下降趋势。然而一些地区仍有聚集性暴发现象,应加强对疫情的监测。 Objective The epidemic of corona virus disease 2019(COVID-19)in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region during January 23 and February 16,2020 was evaluated to provide evidence for the prevention and control of the COVID-19 outbreak.Methods The COVID-19 epidemic data were obtained from the official website of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region health commission.ArcGIS 10.6 software was used to map the spatiotemporal distribution of confirmed COVID-19 cases in Guangxi.Results On February 16,2020,the cumulative incidence of COVID-19 in Guangxi was 238,with a cumulative incidence of 0.48/100000.There were 4 severe cases,7 critical cases and 2 deaths.Confirmed cases were mainly distributed in Nanning(51 cases,accounting for 21.43%),Beihai(43,18.07%)and Guilin(31,13.03%).The cumulative incidence in Beihai(2.56/100000)and Fangchenggang(1.89/100000)was higher than those of other cities(P<0.05).The daily number of new cases in each city was gradually decreased and the overall trend was downward.The Laibin had no confirmed cases before February 4,followed by a significant increase(11 cases)within 5 days,and no new cases after February 9.Conclusions In Guangxi,the epidemic of COVID-19 progressed smoothly,and the number of new cases was decreasing per day.However,there were still clusters of outbreaks in some areas and it is important to strengthen surveillance of the outbreak.
作者 王刚 李玥琪 蒋俊俊 宁传艺 陈荣凤 赖菁贞 叶力 梁浩 WANG Gang;LI Yue-qi;JIANG Jun-jun;NING Chuan-yi;CHEN Rong-feng;LAI Jing-zhen;YE Li;LIANG Hao(Guangxi Collaborative Innovation Center for Biomedicine,Life Science Institute,Guangxi Medical University,Nanning,Guangxi 530021;Guangxi Key Uiboratory of AIDS Prevention and Treatment,School of Public Health,Guangxi Medical University,Nanning,Guangxi 530021;Nursing College,Guangxi Medical Unirersity,Nanning,Guangxi 530021,China)
出处 《热带医学杂志》 CAS 2020年第4期431-433,I0002,共4页 Journal of Tropical Medicine
基金 “十三五”国家科技专项课题(2018ZX10101002-001-006) 广西八桂学者项目。
关键词 新型冠状病毒肺炎 时空分布 广西 流行特征 COVID-19 Spatiotemporal distribution Guangxi Epidemic
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