摘要
【目的】对西部地区现代农业与旅游业的耦合协调发展水平进行测度,明晰各省份的耦合协调类型,为实现西部地区现代农业与旅游业的协调发展提供理论依据。【方法】基于2012—2016年西部地区内蒙古、广西、重庆、四川、贵州、云南、陕西、甘肃、青海、宁夏和新疆等11个省份的面板数据,构建现代农业与旅游业系统评价指标体系,运用变异系数法、线性加权法、耦合度模型、耦合协调度模型及统计分析方法,考察西部地区现代农业与旅游业的耦合协调关系。【结果】考察期内西部地区现代农业综合指数介于0.1421~0.3832,旅游业综合指数介于0.0036~0.3398,均表现为波动变化态势,二者间的相关系数为0.522,表明西部地区现代农业与旅游业间存在较强的关联性,但考察期内的现代农业发展水平和旅游业发展水平均不高。四川和云南属于现代农业滞后型,内蒙古、广西、重庆、贵州、陕西、甘肃、青海、宁夏和新疆等9个省份均为旅游业滞后型。西部地区所有省份的现代农业与旅游业综合协调指数均小于0.3500,现代农业与旅游业的耦合协调度明显低于二者的耦合度,整体上呈现波动式上升趋势。从现代农业与旅游业的耦合阶段来看,内蒙古、广西、重庆、四川、贵州、云南、陕西、甘肃和新疆等9个省份均属于颉颃耦合阶段;宁夏位于低水平耦合阶段;青海在2013和2015年属于低水平耦合阶段,其余年份均为颉颃耦合阶段。西部地区现代农业与旅游业的耦合协调度均值介于0.1193~0.3882,包含轻度失调、中度失调和严重失调3个等级。其中,内蒙古、广西、重庆、四川、云南和陕西等6个省份均属于轻度失调,贵州、甘肃和新疆均属于中度失调,青海和宁夏均为严重失调。【建议】西部地区应充分发挥旅游业引领带动作用,加快构建现代农业产业体系,不断强化政策保障体系建设,以此促进现代农业与旅游业耦合协调发展。
【Objective】Measuring the coupling coordinated development level between modern agriculture and tourism in the western region of China,clarifying the type of coupling coordination in each province to provide a theoretical basis for the coordinated development of modern agriculture and tourism in the western region of China.【Method】Based on the panel data of 11 provinces in the western region of China(including Inner Mongolia,Guangxi,Chongqing,Sichuan,Guizhou,Yunnan,Shaanxi,Gansu,Qinghai,Ningxia and Xinjiang)from 2012 to 2016,the evaluation index system of modern agriculture and tourism system was constructed.The coefficient of variation method,linear weighting method,coupling degree model,coupling coordination degree model and statistical analysis methods were used to empirically investigate the coupling and coordination relationship between modern agriculture and tourism in the western region.【Result】During the period of investigation,the modern agricultural comprehensive index in the western region ranged from 0.1421 to 0.3832,and the tourism comprehensive index ranged from 0.0036 to 0.3398,both of which showed fluctuations.The correlation coefficient between the two was 0.522.This showed that there was a strong correlation between modern agriculture and tourism in the western region of China,but the level of modern agricultural development and tourism development during the period of investigation was not high.Sichuan and Yunnan were lagging behind in modern agriculture,and Inner Mongolia,Guangxi,Chongqing,Guizhou,Shaanxi,Gansu,Qinghai,Ningxia and Xinjiang were lagging behind in tourism.The comprehensive coordination index of modern agriculture and tourism in all provinces in the western region was less than 0.3500.The coupling coordination degree of modern agriculture and tourism was greatly lower than the coupling degree of the two,and the overall trend was rising.From the perspective of the coupling stage of modern agriculture and tourism,nine provinces including Inner Mongolia,Guangxi,Chongqing,Sichuan,Guizhou,Yunnan,Shaanxi,Gansu,and Xinjiang all belonged to the dysfunctional coupling stage;Ningxia was in the lowlevel coupling stage.Qinghai belonged to the low-level coupling stage in 2013 and 2015,and the rest of the years were all dysfunctional coupling stages.The average value of the coupling and coordination degree of modern agriculture and tourism in the western region was between 0.1193 and 0.3882,including mild disorders,moderate disorders and severe disorders.Among them,six provinces including Inner Mongolia,Guangxi,Chongqing,Sichuan,Yunnan and Shaanxi belonged to the category of mild disorders;Guizhou,Gansu and Xinjiang all belonged to the category of moderate disorders;Qinghai and Ningxia belonged to the category of severe disorders.【Suggestion】The western region should give full play to the tie-making action of the tourism industry,accelerate the construction of a modern agricultural industrial system,and continuously strengthen the construction of the policy guarantee system to promote the coordinated development of modern agriculture and tourism.
作者
毛艳
MAO Yan(Regional Development Institute,Guangxi Academy of Social Sciences,Nanning 530022,China)
出处
《南方农业学报》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2020年第3期712-721,共10页
Journal of Southern Agriculture
基金
国家社会科学基金项目(18XMZ009)
广西八桂青年学者岗位专项(厅发〔2019〕79号)。
关键词
西部地区
现代农业
旅游业
耦合协调度模型
western region
modern agriculture
tourism
coupling coordination degree
