摘要
本文利用2014-2016年中山大学中国劳动力动态调查数据(CLDS2014-2016),采用断点回归的方法估计建档立卡政策对农村家庭增收效应的影响。研究发现,以收入维度为标准进行测算,2013年人均纯收入低于2 736元的家庭被评为建档立卡贫困户的概率约为40%-50%,建档立卡存在收入维度上的瞄准偏差。其次,建档立卡政策使得处理组家庭在短期内约增收2 300-2 800元,且家庭转移性收入增量占到家庭收入总增量的一半以上,贫困户脱贫缺乏内生动力。因此,在建档立卡政策实施以及后续巩固提升的长期过程中,既要重点探索参与式的贫困户受益机制,又需要基层政府加大对贫困户的思想意识引领,使贫困人口摆脱传统"等、靠、要"式的福利依赖,激发贫困户内生发展动力。同时,在精准扶贫政策后期阶段,中央政府及各地方政府应重视非贫困户合理的利益诉求,形成政策受众之间较好的利益均衡。
This article uses data from the 2014-2016 Sun Yat-Sen University's China Labor Force Dynamic Survey(CLDS2014-2016)and uses regression discontinuity design to estimate the impact of the filing riser policy on rural household income growth.The study found that when the income dimension is used as the standard for measurement,the probability that a family with a per capita net income below 2736 yuan in 2013 will be rated as a poor household with a profile card is about 40-50%.Secondly,the filing riser policy made the processing group households increase their income by approximately 2300-2800 yuan in a short period of time,and the increase in family transfer income accounted for more than half of the total increase in family income.Poor households lacked endogenous motivation for poverty alleviation.Therefore,in the long-term process of implementing the policy,we must not only focus on exploring the participatory mechanism for the benefit of poor households,but also require the grass-roots government to increase the ideological guidance of poor households so as to lift the poor out of the traditional"wait and dependant"type welfare dependence.At the same time,in the later stage of the targeted poverty alleviation policy,the central government and local governments should pay attention to the reasonable interests of non-poor households and form a better balance of interests among policy audiences.
出处
《产业经济评论》
2020年第2期99-111,共13页
Review of Industrial Economics
关键词
建档立卡
精准扶贫
扶贫政策评估
断点回归
filing riser policy
targeted support for poverty
Poverty alleviation policy evaluation
regression discontinuity design
