摘要
府会双层博弈中的掣肘关系,导致美国在全球气候治理实践中处于被动局面。随着两党在气候立场上的极化特征凸显,民主党居主导的府会结构有利于美国气候政策的正向演化。2020年美国总统竞选与国会中期选举的结果,关系到其气候政策演化能否出现新一轮的积极跃升。关键摇摆州的国会议员提出的进入立法程序的法案,对总统候选人的政策偏好影响重大,且会进一步影响当选总统的施政纲领。鉴于此,在把握20世纪50年代以来气候议题府会融洽度变迁的基础上,探析上届总统参选以来弗洛里达和宾夕法尼亚两个关键摇摆州议员的气候提案,可以为洞察下一步演化趋势提供参考。
Ratification between the legislative-executive interactions in two-level gaming has placed the U.S.government in a passive position in global climate governance.Despite the polarization between Republican and Democratic Parties on this agenda,the Democrats dominate the positive evolution of climate policies.The result of the coming 2020 Presidential campaign and mid-term elections will play a significant role in the development of cilmate policy legislation.The bills submitted by the key swing states will crucially influence policy preferences of presidential candidates and their future policy agenda.Therefore,by reviewing bipartisan and legislative-exective interactions since the 1950 s and by focusing the two key swing states of Florida and Pennsylvania since 2016,this paper seeks to provide insights for future U.S.climate policy evolution.
出处
《南开学报（哲学社会科学版）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2020年第1期54-63,共10页
Nankai Journal:Philosophy,Literature and Social Science Edition
基金
北京市哲学社会科学基金青年项目(18ZGC009)
国家社会科学基金重大研究专项项目(18VZT001)
关键词
美国府会关系
双层博弈
总统选举
摇摆州
气候治理
U.S.Legislative-exective Interactions
Two-level Game Theory
Presidential Campaign
Swing States
Climate Governance
