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多中心城市系统均衡分析与轨道交通投资影响评价研究 被引量:4

Urban system equilibrium analysis in a polycentric city and rail transit investment estimation
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摘要 考虑了私家车、公交车和地铁三种出行方式,基于连续型多项logit模型,假设居民选址偏好是异质的,探讨了线性多中心城市中居民住宅区位和工作地点的选址行为;通过比较引入轨道交通前后城市系统均衡状态,分析了轨道交通投资对居民分布、住房价格、不同商业中心对就业者吸引力的影响.结果表明轨道交通的引入使得劳动力更聚集于较发达的商业中心,进一步拉大了商业中心吸引力之间的差距;交通的改善导致居民向非中心区域迁徙,使得城市人口密度和住房价格分布更均匀,从而弱化了"地段"的概念. Based on a continuous multinomial logit model,this paper develops a stochastic urban system equilibrium to investigate residents’choices of residential location and work place in a linear polycentric city,which takes into account individual taste heterogeneity in terms of location choice.In the urban system,people commute by private car,bus or rail transit between their home and working places.The model is then used to explore the impacts of urban rail transit investment on residential distribution,housing price,and attractiveness of CBDs for employees through comparison of the urban system equilibrium performances before and after the introduction of rail transit.The result reveals that the introduction of urban rail transit makes employment more concentrated in the relatively developed CBD and further widens the gap of attractiveness between the two CBDs.It also finds that improvements of traffic conditions encourage residents to migrate towards the suburbs,and thus leads to a more uniform distribution of residential density and housing price across the city,weakening the advantages of central areas.
作者 陈雅娟 黄海军 李志纯 CHEN Yajuan;HUANG Haijun;LI Zhichun(School of Management,Wuhan University of Technology,Wuhan 430070,China;School of Economics and Management,Beihang University,Beijing 100191,China;School of Management,Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Wuhan 430074,China)
出处 《系统工程理论与实践》 EI CSSCI CSCD 北大核心 2019年第12期3120-3128,共9页 Systems Engineering-Theory & Practice
基金 国家自然科学基金(71501150,71772143) 国家自然科学基金重大项目(71890790) 中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金(2019VI028)~~
关键词 轨道交通 多中心城市 连续型多项logit模型 概率选择 rail transit polycentric city continuous multinomial logit model probabilistic choices
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