摘要
文章利用中国健康与养老追踪调查数据,采用热量贫困线并根据贫困状态探讨新农保养老金收入对不同群体的减贫及防贫效果。结果证明,对长期贫困人口和暂时性贫困人口而言,新农保政策除了能缓解目前贫困状态外,还降低了他们未来陷入贫困的可能性,并且"减贫"的作用大于防贫,对暂时贫困人口的作用效果优于长期贫困人口。从贫困边缘和非贫困人口来看,新农保更多的是发挥防贫作用,且对非贫困人口的作用大于贫困边缘人口。
Based on the data of health and old-age follow-up survey in China, this paper adopts the calorie poverty line and accords to the poverty state to discuss the "poverty reduction" and "poverty prevention" effects of the pension income of the new rural social pension insurance on different groups. The results show that for the chronically poor and the temporarily poor, the new rural insurance policy not only alleviates the current poverty state, but also reduces their possibility of falling into poverty in the future. Moreover, the effect of "poverty reduction" is greater than that of poverty prevention, and the effect of "temporary poverty reduction" is better than that of long-term poverty reduction. From the perspective of the poor marginal population and the non-poor population, the new rural social pension insurance plays a greater role in preventing poverty, and its effect on the non-poor population is greater than that on the poor marginal population.
作者
张召华
罗宇溪
李强
Zhang Zhaohua;Luo Yuxi;Li Qiang(School of Economics and Management,Shandong Agricultural University,Tai'an Shandong 271018,China;School of Economics and Management,Guangxi Normal University,Guilin Guangxi 541004,China)
出处
《统计与决策》
CSSCI
北大核心
2019年第24期90-93,共4页
Statistics & Decision
基金
教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目（17YJCZH091）
关键词
新农保
减贫
贫困状态
热量贫困线
断点回归
new rural social pension insurance
poverty reduction
poverty state
calorie poverty line
breakpoint regression
