摘要
贫困脆弱性是对贫困的事前测度,能将未来家庭收入风险纳入其中,基于贫困脆弱性的新农保政策效果评价,是对其长期减贫作用的事前评估。该文利用面板数据双向固定效应模型,实证分析发现新农保显著地降低了参保家庭的贫困脆弱性,也显著降低了成为脆弱性家庭的可能性,这表明新农保对参保家庭来说发挥着重要的抵御收入风险的作用。但因与当前缴费水平和养老金收入水平较低有关,新农保对贫困脆弱性的影响仍处于较低水平。
Vulnerability to poverty if an ex-post measure of a household＇ s poverty, it can take household^s future income risks into account. The investigation of the impacts of New Rural Pension Program on household＇s vulnerability to poverty is a kind of forward-looking estimate of its anti-poverty effect. Using the panel data two-way fixed effects model, we find that the New Rural Pension Program significantly reduce the vulnerability of insured families and also significant reduce its possibility to be a vulnerable family. So New Rural Pension Program play an important role in resisting insured families ~ income risk. But because of the insurance expense still very low, the negative impact on vulnerability to poverty is also keep in a low level.
出处
《上海经济研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2015年第7期46-54,共9页
Shanghai Journal of Economics
基金
国家社会科学基金重大项目"深化收入分配制度改革的财税机制与制度研究"(13&ZD031)
国家社会科学基金重点项目"深化税收制度改革与完善地方税体系研究"(14AZD023)
国家社会科学基金项目"深化税收体制改革研究"(13BJY155)的资助
关键词
新农保
贫困
贫困脆弱性
New Rural Pension Program
Poverty
Vulnerability to Poverty
