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养儿能否防老:代际互动对农村老年人的减贫研究——基于多维贫困视角 被引量:18

Whether Raising Children Can Support the Elderly:The Impact of Intergenerational Interaction on Rural Multi-dimensional Poverty
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摘要 在精准扶贫、农村人口老龄化和全面建成小康社会的背景下,从多维视角研究农村老年人口的贫困问题具有十分重要的理论和现实意义。基于2014年中国老龄人口健康状况调查数据(CLHLS),测算了农村老年人在经济水平、生活质量和健康状况三个维度的多维贫困状况,运用Probit模型探讨了代际互动对农村老年人多维贫困的影响,并采用倾向值匹配方法(PSM)检验模型估计结果的稳健性。研究结果表明:样本中农村老年人多维贫困发生率较高,处于1个维度贫困状态的农村老年人占24.79%,处于全部三个维度贫困状态的农村老年人较少,仅为3.73%。在代际互动变量中,经济互动与情感互动对老年人多维贫困均具有显著的负向影响,即代际互动对农村老年人多维贫困具有缓解作用,依靠子女养老仍然是农村老年人口养老的主要方式。提出从促进劳动力回流、重塑农村精神文明和构建农村社会福利体系三方面来改善代际互动现状,以缓解农村老年人多维贫困的政策建议。 Under the background of precise poverty alleviation,aging of rural population and building a well-off society in an all-round way,it is of great theoretical and practical significance to study the poverty of rural elderly population from a multi-dimensional perspective.Based on the 2014 China Elderly Population Health Survey Data(CLHLS),this paper estimates the multi-dimensional poverty situation of rural elderly in three dimensions:economic level,quality of life and health status.The Probit model is used to explore intergenerational interactions for rural elderly. The impact of poverty and the propensity value matching method( PSM)test model were used to estimate the robustness of the results. The results show that the rural elderly population has a high incidence of multi-dimensional poverty. The rural elderly in one dimension of poverty account for 24. 79%,and the rural elderly in all three dimensions are only3. 73%. In the intergenerational interaction variables,economic interaction and emotional interaction have a significant negative impact on the multi-dimensional poverty of the elderly. Intergenerational interaction has a mitigating effect on rural multi-dimensional poverty. Relying on children’s pension is still the main reason for rural elderly. Therefore,we should alleviate the multi-dimensional poverty of rural elderly from the aspects of promoting labor return,reshaping rural spiritual civilization and building rural social welfare system.
作者 宋嘉豪 郑家喜 汪为 SONG Jia-hao;ZHENG Jia-xi;WANG Wei(School of Business Administration,Zhongnan University of Economics and Law,Wuhan 430073,China;School of Management,Sichuan Agricultural University,Chengdu 611130,China)
出处 《人口与发展》 CSSCI 北大核心 2019年第6期96-106,共11页 Population and Development
基金 国家自然科学基金项目“城镇化路径选择对农村贫困影响效应与机制研究”(编号:71573277) 教育部人文社科青年基金项目“家庭生命周期、可持续生计与精准脱贫研究”(编号:19YJC790126) 中南财经政法大学研究生科研创新项目(201911046)资助
关键词 代际互动 农村老年人 多维贫困 Intergenerational Interaction Rural Elderly Multi-dimensional Poverty
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