摘要
建国以来,中国人口增长经历了从加速到减缓的过程,与此同时,人口年龄结构也在发生着重大的变化。1999年建国50周年之际,中国跨入了老年型杜会。世纪的转折伴随着人口问题的转折,而人口老龄化将成为最突出的问题。本文考察了中国人口老龄化的演进和现状,并根据国家统计局提供的最新数据,对未来50年中国人口变化进行了预测,描述和分析了未来人口老龄化的特点和趋势。
When the People's Republic of China is celebrating its 50th anniversary , a silent revolution is also occurring with respect to the age structure of its population: Chinese society is demographically aged to the extent that the proportion of the older people at ages 60 plus reached 7% in February 1999. The turn of the century is thus accompanied by a turn of the population problems in China. This article examines the past and future trends in China's population ageing using data from the previous 4 national censuses and the results of projections starting from 1999 based on the most recent demographic data from the State Statistical Bureau.
出处
《人口研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
1999年第6期28-37,共10页
Population Research