摘要
基于2005—2015年中国30个省份面板数据,选用移动平均取样方式对创新驱动与区域产业升级之谜进行研究。研究表明:(1)传统取样方式下,民营经济的创新驱动明确地强化了省域产业III型升级,但民营经济创新驱动对第二和第三产业升级的综合作用呈现为负向抑制状态。(2)新型取样方式下,民营经济的创新驱动对区域产业升级的影响具有"时间"和"产业"异分两大特征。(3)研究表明,2012年是新旧民营经济交替的分水岭。(4)"民营经济创新驱动上升能有效推动区域产业Ⅱ型升级,而民营经济创新驱动下跌能有效推动区域产业Ⅲ型升级"的简单解读并不严谨,民营经济从"被动"走向"主动"的姿态是"同型异构"事实的深层原因。
Based on the panel data of 30 provinces in China over the past 2005-2015 years,the moving average sampling method was used to restudy the mystery of innovation driven and regional industrial upgrading under the new private economy orientation.Research shows:(1) Under the traditional sampling mode,the innovation drive of the private economy has clearly strengthened the upgrade of the provincial industry type III,but the comprehensive effect of the innovation drive of the private economy on the upgrading of the second and third industries presents a negative inhibition state.(2) Under the new sampling mode,the influence of the innovation drive of the private economy on the regional industrial upgrading has two characteristics,"time" and "industry".(3) Data show that 2012 is a watershed between the old and the new private economy.(4)"The rise driven by private economic innovation can effectively promote the second-type upgrading of regional industries,and the decline driven by private economic innovation can effectively promote the regional industry Type III Upgrade" simple interpretation is not rigorous,Because the private economy is moving from "passive" to "active" posture constitutes the deep mechanism of the fact of "homologous heterogeneity".
作者
刘洪涛
肖功为
LIU Hong-tao;XIAO Gong-wei(Hunan Province Private Economy Research Base,Shaoyang University,Shaoyang 422000,China)
出处
《统计与信息论坛》
CSSCI
北大核心
2019年第4期90-97,共8页
Journal of Statistics and Information
基金
国家社会科学基金项目<供给侧改革下产业政策对产业升级的有效性研究>(18BJL051)
湖南省社会科学基金项目<县域经济发展与"农三化"互动研究--以湖南为例>(13YBA296)
湖南省教育厅科学研究创新平台开放基金项目<结构性减速背景下区域经济"信息化"新动能培育研究>(18K096)
关键词
创新驱动
产业升级
新民营经济
移动平均取样法
innovation driven
industrial upgrading
new private economy
moving average sampling
