摘要
【目的/意义】服务经济背景下,信息产业服务化趋势显著,信息服务业发展迅速,对国民经济的贡献日益显著。考察信息服务业对经济增长的影响,对探析新常态下的经济增长点有重要现实意义。【方法/过程】通过构建STVAR模型并计算脉冲响应函数,对信息服务业对经济增长的非线性动态影响进行实证检验。【结果/结论】研究表明,信息服务业、第三产业和经济增长之间存在显著的非线性特征;信息服务业对GDP具有正向拉动作用,但第三产业对GDP的影响存在差异性。
【Purpose/significance】Under the background of service economy, the service trend of information industry is remarkable, the information service industry is developing rapidly, and its contribution to the national economy is becoming more and more significant. The investigation of the relationship between information service industry and economic growth has an important practical significance for the analysis of economic growth point under the new normal.【Method/process】By constructing the STVAR model and calculating the impulse response function, the nonlinear dynamic effect of information service industry on economic growth is tested.【Result/conclusion】The results show that there are significant nonlinear characteristics among information service industry, the third industry and economic growth. The information service industry has a positive pull on GDP, while the impact of the third industry on GDP is different.
作者
王春
沈颂东
刘丹
姚舜
WANG Chun;SHEN Song-dong;LIU Dan;YAO Shun(School of Management, Jilin University, Changchun 130022, China;School of Business, Jilin University, Changchun 130012, China)
出处
《情报科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2018年第5期126-130,共5页
Information Science
关键词
信息服务业
经济增长
非线性
动态影响
STVAR模型
information service industry, economic growth, nonlinear, dynamic effect, STVAR model
