摘要
河南省外商直接投资连年增加的同时,进出口的规模也在不断的扩大。为了找出两者之间是否存在关联性,利用1991—2014年间的相关时间序列数据进行协整检验和格兰杰因果检验。检验结果表明,河南省外商直接投资与进出口之间存在着长期稳定的均衡关系,且进出口额的增加能够促进外商直接投资的增加。因此,应采取有效的政策措施来扩大进出口规模,以促进更多的外资进入河南省并优化河南省的产业结构。
Along with the increase of the foreign direct investment of Henan province in successive years, import and export scale has been expanded. In order to find out whether there is correlation between, use the relevant time series data from 1991 to 2014, the co-integration test and granger causality test. Test results show that foreign direct investment of Henan province and there is a long-term stable equilibrium relationship between import and export, and the increase of import and export can promote the increase of foreign direct investment. Therefore, we should take effective policy measures to expand the scale of import and export, in order to promote greater access to foreign capital and optimize the industrial structure of Henan province of Henan province.
作者
陈美华
CHEN Mei-hua(Henan Institute of Technology, Xinxiang 453003, Chin)
出处
《河南机电高等专科学校学报》
CAS
2017年第1期36-40,共5页
Journal of Henan Mechanical and Electrical Engineering College
关键词
外商直接投资
进出口贸易
协整检验
格兰杰因果检验
foreign direct investment
import and export trade
co-integration test
Granger causality