摘要
运用物质流核算方法,得到北京市2005—2013年直接物质输入量(DMI)和生产过程排放量(DPO),并应用Tapio脱钩模型,对北京市2006—2013年经济增长与物质代谢的脱钩关系及程度进行研究,分析发展的时间演变趋势。借助STIRPAT模型,对直接物质输入量的影响因素进行分析。结果表明:2006—2013年北京市经济增长与DMI基本实现"弱脱钩";DPO呈下降趋势,与经济增长呈"强脱钩"状态;城市化率、产业结构、人口和人均GDP对DMI均有促进作用,其中城市化率对DMI的影响最大。
This paper using material flow accounting methods gets the amount of direct material input（DMI） and domestic processed output（DPO） in Beijing city from 2005 to 2013, and applying Tapio decoupling model studies the relationship and degree of decoupling between the economic growth and metabolism and analyzes the time evolution trend of development during the time. Meanwhile it analyzes the driving factors of direct material input with the STIRPAT model. The results show that the economic growth and DMI in Beijing from 2006 to 2013 basically achieve ＂weak decoupling＂. DPO shows a downward trend and a ＂strong decoupling＂ status of economic growth. The urbanization rate,industrial structure, population and the per capita GDP all have a promoting effect on DMI. Among them the urbanization rate has the maximum influence on DMI.
出处
《再生资源与循环经济》
2016年第4期6-11,共6页
Recyclable Resources and Circular Economy
基金
北京市重点学科"资源
环境及循环经济"项目(033000541215003)
