摘要
本文以我国农业生产总值与世界农业生产总值历年呈现出的变化规律为研究对象,从宏观数据来量化养活了1/6世界人口的中国农业经济对世界农业的具体贡献程度,以回归分析与VAR-Granger因果关系来检验我国农业增长变化对世界农业带来的脉冲响应,并在实证分析的基础上印证了不同时间段的经济增长与突变情况,为我国农业经济在世界农业增长的背景下面对各种机遇与挑战应该采取积极措施奠定分析的基础。
This paper focused on the change law of China＇s agricultural GDP and the world＇s agricultural GDP over the years, and from the view of the macro data, the specific contribution of China＇s agricultural economy fed with 1/6 of the world＇s population to world agriculture was quantified. The regression analysis and VAR-Granger causality were used to test the impulse response of agricultural growth in China to agriculture in the world and on the basis of the empirical analysis the economic growth and mutation over different time periods were confirmed, which lay the analysis basis for how China＇s agricultural and economic growth in the world＇s agricultural background should take positive measures to face the following a variety of opportunities and challenges.
出处
《山东农业大学学报（自然科学版）》
CSCD
北大核心
2014年第5期789-792,共4页
Journal of Shandong Agricultural University：Natural Science Edition
