摘要
港口物流与腹地经济协同发展是区域经济发展的要求,文中基于协同模型的基础上对武汉港口物流与腹地经济协同发展进行定量分析,为此,选取了港口物流与腹地经济的替代指标,在1998-2013年,武汉港口物流与腹地经济指标变量的时间序列数据,对变量发展水平时间序列进行ADF单位根检验、Johansen协整检验及Granger因果关系检验分析。结果表明,在研究时限内,武汉港口物流与腹地经济的指标变量对数是平稳的,且存在长期协整关系;格兰杰因果关系检验武汉港发展对武汉市经济有明显的带动作用,湖北省经济与武汉港口的发展带动是双向的。
Synergetic development between port logistics and hinterland economy is the requirements of objective laws. This paper quantitatively analyses synergetic development between Wuhan port logistics and hinterland economy on the basis of synergetic model. To do this, select the alternative indicators of port logistics and hinterland economy, indicator variables of time series data about Wuhan port logistics and hinterland economy during 1998-2013. By unit ADF root test, Johansen co-integration test and Granger causality test analysis for the time series of the variable development level. The test result shows that during the study period, indicator variables logarithmic of Wuhan port logistics and hinterland economy is smooth, long-term co-integration relationship; Granger causality test shows that Wuhan port logistics play better role in promoting Wuhan city economy construction, Wuhan port logistics and Hubei province economy development promote each other.
出处
《物流工程与管理》
2014年第10期107-109,67,共4页
Logistics Engineering and Management
基金
湖北省统计科研计划项目(HB132-39)
武汉工商学院校级科研项目(S2013001)
关键词
武汉市
港口物流
腹地经济
协同模型
Wuhan city
port logistics
hinterland economy
synergetic model
