摘要
利用厦门近30多年基本气候资料,对温湿指数、风寒指数,着衣指数和人体舒适度指数进行分级赋值,通过FAHP(Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process,模糊层次分析法)确定权重,构建综合气候舒适度模型,评估厦门旅游气候的舒适度及持续时间.为进一步说明气候舒适度对旅游业发展的影响,采用OLS方法分析气候舒适度与入境旅客月指数的相关性.结果显示:厦门市入境旅游月指数与气候舒适度之间的弹性系数为0.907 2,气候舒适度与客流量之间存在着正相关.本研究不仅分析了厦门市旅游客流量年内变化,也为旅游景点开发以及旅游景区的管理提供科学依据.
According to basic meteorology data of Xiamen in recent 30 years, has assigned value to temperature-humidity index, wind chill index, clothing index and human comfort index in different grade. It also uses the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process to determine the weight, building integrated climate comfort to evaluate Xiamen＇s tourism climate index and duration. In order to further illustrate the effect of climate comfort degree for the development of tourism, using OLS method to analyze the correlation of monthly index of inbound passengers and climate comfort degree. Results showed： the variation of international tourists in a year was mainly affected by the climate, monthly index of climatic coefficient of elasticity was 0. 907 2%. The research provides the scientific evidence for variation of passenger amount of Xiamen within this year, exploration of tourism spots and management of scenic spot.
出处
《福建师范大学学报（自然科学版）》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2014年第5期101-108,共8页
Journal of Fujian Normal University：Natural Science Edition
基金
江苏省"六大人才高峰"第七批高层次人才资助项目(S7410008001)
关键词
气候舒适度
模糊层次分析
厦门
climate comfort-index
fuzzy analytic hierarchy process
Xiamen
