摘要
对国家气象中心的奇异向量法初值扰动的 3 2个成员的集合预报 ,利用 2 0 0 0年 5月到1 0月的实况资料进行了Talagrand概率分布、离散度、Brier评分 (BS)、Brier技巧评分 (BSS)、命中率以及空报率的统计检验。
The various diagnostics, e.g., Talagrand probability distribution, spread, Brier score (BS), Brier Skill score (BSS), hit rate and false alarm rate are applied to the Ensemble Prediction System (the singular vector version, 32 members) at the National Meteorological Center, Beijing, China from June to October in 2000. The comparison also is conducted between Singular Vector (SV) and Lagged Averaging Forecast (LAF) methods.
出处
《应用气象学报》
CSCD
北大核心
2002年第1期29-36,共8页
Journal of Applied Meteorological Science
