摘要
介绍集合数值预报的基本概念 ,简要回顾国家气象中心的集合数值预报系统的开发过程 ,并概述了国家气象中心现有的中期集合数值预报业务系统的组成、集合数值预报产品的解释与应用。
The basic concepts of the Ensemble Prediction System (EPS) are addressed. A brief review is given on the development and implementation of the operational EPS at National Meteorological Center (NMC): the main components and their functions of the EPS/NMC, the interpretation of the EPS' products and the routine uses in the Weather Forecast Offices (WFO). The future development issues of the EPS, the national-wide uses of the EPS products in the provincial WFO over China are discussed.
出处
《应用气象学报》
CSCD
北大核心
2002年第1期1-15,共15页
Journal of Applied Meteorological Science
基金
"8 6 3"项目"基于神威巨型计算机的集合数值预报系统研究"ZD 1 1 0 3 0 2 0 2课题的资助
关键词
集合数值预报
业务系统
国家气象中心
发展机制
数值天气预报
Numerical ensemble prediction Operational system Interpretation of the model output products National meteorological center
