摘要
本文利用欧洲中心中期数值预报结果 ,从不同侧面选取因子 ,建立了日最大平均风速的四种统计预报方程 ,在此基础上设计了几种集成方法对预报结果进行集成 ,结果表明 ,我们设计的最大值—阀值综合集成法取得了很好的效果 ,特别是 2—
By studying on the medium-range numerical model results of ECMWF,four kinds of statistical forecast equations for calculating the maximum average wind everyday have been established.On the basis of this,by selecting different factors several integrating methods were designed to forecast the southward strong wind .The experiment results show that the Maximum Value-Threshlod comprehensive method has a good performance in forecasting southward strong wind,especially in two or three days forecasting.
出处
《气象科学》
CSCD
北大核心
2002年第1期100-106,共7页
Journal of the Meteorological Sciences
