摘要
汽车工业的未来发展将在社会经济可持续发展的总体战略之下计划和进行.本文从我国目前机动车的生产规模、我国未来机动车的市场、国民收入和城市道路等方面讨论了我国机动车未来发展趋势.以广州市为例,定量地分析了广州市机动车排放NOX的削减目标及控制措施的削减潜力和费用,结果表明,在广州市实现2010年的NOX环境目标,必须提前实施EURO3标准.讨论了机动车标准阶段跨越的技术可行性及燃油质量的影响因素.
The future development of vehicle industry will be planned and carried out in the national strategies of sustainable social and economic development. Through current vehicle production scale, future vehicle market, national income and urban road construction, the trend of future vehicle development in China is discussed in this paper. Taking Guangzhou city as example, the reduction target of vehicle NOX emission, reduction potential and cost of the control measures were analyzed quantitatively. The results show that to achieve the NOX environmental target of the year 2010 in Guangzhou city, the EURO3 standard must be realized in advance. The technical feasibility of the vehicle standard jumping and the effect factors of vehicle fuel quality are also discussed in this paper.
出处
《中国环境科学》
EI
CAS
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2001年第4期355-358,共4页
China Environmental Science
基金
联合国开发计划署资助项目(CPR/96/305)
