摘要
为了能够更精确地分析林场资源变化情况,并预测今后一段时间内的变化趋势,采用层次分析法对广西国有林场资源变化进行了详细分析,建立了林场资源动态变化敏感参数列表.对林场中的各种资源组成、资源价值权重、资源演化系数等主要指标进行了深入研究,建立了国有林场资源变化模型.利用广西国有林场资源变化的历史数据对模型进行完善和修正,同时,也通过对不同区域国有林场资源变化验证模型分析能力,最终利用资源变化模型对广西国有林场资源变化进行了预测.
In order to accurately study the resources of state-owned tree iarms and preaict its cnanging trends, this paper took advantage of analytic hierarchy process to fully analyze the Guangxi state-owned tree farms and establish a dynamic sensitive parameter list of sources change. It first studied the resources com- position, the weight of resource value, parameter of resources change and other main indexes in detail, and established a resource changing model. Then, it took advantage of the historical data of Guangxi state-owned tree farm resources change to adjust the model, and examined the model analysis ability by resources change data in different region of Guangxi. In the end, it predicted the future change of Guangxi tree farm resource.
出处
《广西民族大学学报（自然科学版）》
CAS
2014年第2期84-87,共4页
Journal of Guangxi Minzu University ：Natural Science Edition
基金
广西科技攻关项目(10134008-1)
广西教育厅2014年科研课题(2014LX560)
关键词
林场
层次分析法
资源
动态变化
参数
State-owned tree farms
analytic hierarchy process
resources
dynamic change
parameter
