摘要
金融危机后,中国经济增长的大部分矛盾表现在需求结构上,对于需求结构失衡与否的讨论较多。基于G20国家需求结构的演进趋势比较和黄金律法则下进行最优结构分析,得出结论:一国的需求结构差异与国家发达程度无关,而与区域差异相关性较强。2000年之前中国需求结构演进趋势仍处于合理状态。但2000年之后,中国需求结构失衡加剧,表现为国内消费率的急剧下降和总投资率的上升,尤其是2006年后总消费率的急速下滑,预示着中国面临较严重的需求结构失衡。
After the financial crisis,most of the contradictions in China＆#39;s economic growth have reflected in the structure of demand.Most of the studies are focus on whether the structure of demand imbalance or not.Based on the comparison of the evolution trends of the structure of demand and optimal structure analysis under the Golden Rule of the G20 countries,we can draw the conclusion that the difference of a country＆#39;s demand structure has nothing to do with its level of development while a strong correlation with regional differences.The evolution trend of our demand structure is still in a reasonable state before 2000.However, after 2000,our demand structure imbalances have aggravated,the main performance is that a sharp decline in the rate of domestic consumption and an ascent in the rate of total investment,especially in 2006,which indicates that China is facing serious structural imbalances in demand.
出处
《首都经济贸易大学学报》
北大核心
2014年第4期12-23,共12页
Journal of Capital University of Economics and Business
基金
国家社会科学基金重大项目<正确处理经济平稳较快发展
调整经济结构
管理通胀预期的关系研究>(12&ZD038)
首都经济贸易大学博士研究生科技创新重点项目<中国需求结构失衡判定
比较及分析>
关键词
需求结构失衡
开放条件
国际比较
计量分析
structural imbalances in demand
opening condition
international comparison
econometric analysis
