摘要
以线性回归分析方法为基础,采集由四川省政府和省统计局于1991 ～2012年发布的城镇在 岗职工平均工资数据,研究并建立了科学的预测模型.结合我国的经济发展战略目标,预测出四川省城镇在岗职工2013 ～2020年的平均工资值及其截止2050年的增长趋势.最后对预测数据进行了具体分析,从实际层面评估了预测模型的建模方法和预测数据的可信度.
Based on linear regression analysis, the data about the average wage of staff and workers in cities and towns released by the Sichuan Provincial Government and the Provincial Bureau of Statistics in 1991 -2012, is collected and a scientific prediction model is established after a lot of research. Combined with China＇s strategic objective of economic develop- ment, the average wage of staff and workers in cities and towns of Siehuan Province from 2013 to 2020 is predicted and its growth trend till 2050 is pointed out. Finally, the predicted data is analysed specifically. From a practical aspect, both the modeling method of the prediction model and the credibility of its predicted data are evaluated.
出处
《四川理工学院学报（自然科学版）》
CAS
2014年第2期56-58,共3页
Journal of Sichuan University of Science & Engineering(Natural Science Edition)
基金
人工智能四川省高校重点实验室开放基金项目(2009RY012)
