摘要
本文以沪深证券市场2006-2011年A股上市公司为研究样本,从现金股利支付倾向和现金股利支付水平两个方面,运用Probit模型和最小二乘估计法考察了我国上市公司现金股利分配决策是否具有生命周期特性。研究结果表明:从现金股利支付倾向看,我国上市公司是否支付现金股利呈现生命周期特征,上年度的盈利水平是公司是否支付现金股利和支付多少现金股利的重要影响因素;从现金股利支付水平看,我国上市公司的股利发放率是否具有生命周期特征受行业因素影响,信息技术业具有生命周期特性,交通运输仓储业、采掘业和建筑业存在逆生命周期现象,其他行业则不具有生命周期特征。
Taken Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share listed companies from 2006-2011 as a sample, the paper investigates whether China's listed companies' cash dividend policy has the life-cycle characteristic. The research develops from two respects the probability of paying cash dividends and the cash dividends payout ratio. For the first perspective, the results show that cash dividends policy has its life-cycle characteristic, and the profitability in last year is an important factor affecting the probability of paying cash dividend. For the second perspective, the results suggest that the information technology industry has the life-cycle characteristic, while the industries of transportation, mining and construction have reverse life-cycle phenomena, and other industries have no life-cycle feature.
出处
《证券市场导报》
CSSCI
北大核心
2014年第4期36-41,52,共7页
Securities Market Herald
基金
国家社会科学基金项目"资本成本约束
可持续分红与国有企业价值创造"(编号:11BGL026)