摘要
在搜集西江控制站梧州水文站枯水期来水量资料系列的基础上,运用周期波叠加法结合AR(p)模型对该站枯水期来水量进行长期预测,预测结果显示此方案可用于天然状态下梧州水文站枯水期来水量的参考性预报,对珠江水量统一调度有一定的参考价值。
Wuzhou Hydrological Station is one of the control stations of Xijiang River. The author collected the dryperiod inflow records of this station, then made a long-term dry-period inflow prediction by use of periodic wave su- perposition method and AR（p） model. The results of prediction demonstrate that this scheme is able to provide a ref- erence prediction of dry-period inflow for Wuzhou Hydrological Station in natural state, which has certain reference value for unitary water regulation of Pearl River.
出处
《广西水利水电》
2014年第1期31-33,共3页
Guangxi Water Resources & Hydropower Engineering
关键词
西江
枯水期来水量
简单分波法
AR(P)模型
预测
梧州水文站
Xijiang River
dry-period inflow
simple partial wave method
AR（p） model
prediction
Wuzhou Hydrological Station
