摘要
根据新疆15个地州市2000—2010年的年均工业碳排放量将新疆全区划分为高、中以及低排放区域,在此基础上对各地州市的工业碳排放总量和三大区域的碳排放强度进行比较分析,利用STIRPAT模型对三大区域的工业碳排放量进行研究。研究结果表明:(1)在2000—2010年间工业碳排放量增长最快的是阿克苏地区,增长最慢的是和田地区;(2)高排放区与中排放区的碳排放强度水平差异在扩大,中排放区与低排放区的碳排放强度水平差异在缩小;(3)技术水平和政策措施对高排放区域的碳排放强度抑制作用最明显,工业投资规模对中排放区域的碳排放强度的促进作用最明显,人均财富在增加低排放区域的碳排放强度方面表现最明显。
15 prefectures of Xinjiang are divided into high, medium and low -emission zones according to the average an- nual industrial carbon emissions from 2000 to 2010. Then the paper carries out a comparative study on the total carbon e- missions of regional cities and carbon emissions intensity of three major regions. By using the STIRPAT model, a further re- search is made on industrial carbon emissions in three major regions. Tile result indicates: (1) in 2000 -2010 years, the fastest growing region of industrial carbon emissions is Aksu, and the slowest grm^th region is Hotan; (2) a greater gap is found between high - emission region and medium - emission region, but a smaller gap between the medium - emission re- gion and low -emission region; (3) the technical level and the policy measures impose the greatest effects on curbing the carbon emission intensity in high -emission region; industrial investment scale imposes the greatest effects on curbing the carbon emission intensity in medium - emission region ; per capita income imposes the greatest effects on curbing the carbon emission intensity in low- emission region.
出处
《科技管理研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2014年第4期225-230,共6页
Science and Technology Management Research
基金
新疆维吾尔自治区自然科学基金协助项目"基于STIRPAT模型的新疆碳排放分析
预测及其绩效评价研究"(2012211A007)