摘要
近年来,非常规突发事件频发,由于其自身具有不可预测性、复杂性和小概率事件等特点,常规的"预测-应对"模式已经难以有效地应对非常规突发事件,"情景-应对"是应对非常规突发事件的基本范式,基于此,对情景及情景-应对理论的研究已成为非常规突发事件应急管理领域中的研究热点,通过对现有文献的梳理,展开综述研究,为未来非常规突发事件应急管理研究奠定了基础。
In recent years, unconventional emergencies occur frequently. Due to its characteristics of unpredictability, complexity, and small probability events, conventional ＆quot;Prediction - response＆quot; model has been difficult to effectively deal with unconventional emergencies.＆quot;scenario-response＆quot;is a basic paradigm to deal with unconventional emergencies. Based on this background, research on scenario and scenario-response theory of unconventional emergencies has become a hot point in the areas of emergency management. Review on present literatures can sort out the direction of future research and it plays a positive role in promoting the work in unconventional emergency management.
出处
《电子科技大学学报（社科版）》
2013年第6期20-24,共5页
Journal of University of Electronic Science and Technology of China(Social Sciences Edition)
基金
国家自然科学基金重大研究计划重点项目(91224001)
四川省哲学社会科学重点研究基地社会发展与社会风险控制研究中心项目(SR13B05)
关键词
非常规突发事件
应急管理
情景
情景-应对理论
unconventional emergencies
unconventional emergency management
scenario
scenario-response theory
