摘要
目的 旨在验证采用艾森克人格特征预测飞行员事故倾向的可靠性。 方法 调查了2 1～ 47岁 (平均 2 9.5岁 )的歼 (强 )击机飞行员 16 0人 ,按照是否发生过由于操作原因而导致的飞行事故征候 ,将这些飞行员分为两组 (A组和 B组 )。采用三种判别方程对飞行员的年龄、飞行时间以及通过 EPQ问卷调查得出的 N、E、P得分进行逐步判别分析。另外 ,对另 10 0名有事故倾向的飞行员跟踪调查 2 .5～ 3年 ,采用本公式预测其事故发生率。 结果 B组的年龄、飞行时间以及 N值高于 A组 ,采用该判别公式 ,有事故倾向的飞行员发生事故的内部符合率为 73.5 % ,外部符合率为 72 .5 %。 结论 从通过 EPQ获得的 N值推出的判别公式有助于预测飞行员的事故倾向。
Objective The purpose of this study was to verify the validity of predicting accident proneness of pilots with Eysenck Personality Questionaire(EPQ). Methods One hundred and sixty fighter and attacker pilots with age ranging from 21 to 47 (average 29.5) served as subjects. They were divided into two groups (group A and group B) according to whether they had or had not history of potential accident due to flight performance. Their age, flight time and N, E, P scores measured by EPQ were taken. Stepwise discrimination analysis of these variables were done and three kinds of discrimination formula were derived. Other 100 pilots' accident proneness was predicted by these formula, and they were followed up for 2.5 to 3 years to see the coincidence rate of prediction. Results It was found that age, flight hours and N scores of group B pilots were significantly higher than those of group A. Using these discrimination formulas, the coincidence rate of accident proneness was 73.75% for internal test, and 72.5% for external test. Conclusions The formulas derived from N scores measured by EPQ and age of pilots were helpful for predicting accident proneness of pilots.
出处
《中华航空航天医学杂志》
CSCD
1999年第4期234-236,共3页
Chinese Journal of Aerospace Medicine
