摘要
运用空间Durbin模型和极大似然估计技术,以1991-2012年大长三角25个城市和大殊三角21个城市面板数据,对比分析FDI对城市生产率的溢出效应。研究表明,FDI对本地城市增长效应显著为正并呈增强趋势,其空间溢出显著但在二地区行为相反;城市生产率增长的空间依赖效应随时间增强,但在二地区方向相异;FDI提高二地区城市增长的条件收敛速度;空间溢出在二地区的核心和外围都存在但表现各异并有不同演变。
The paper applies spatial Durbin model with ML estimation method to examine the underlying relationship between the productivity of the host cities and FDI spillovers. The main findings are as follows: significant positive impacts of FDI on the local city's growth exist and increase over time, while spatial spillovers of FDI on growth present significantly but behave oppositely in YRD and PRD; spatial interaction plays an important and non-negligible role in urban productivity growth; however, in the long term, YRD and PRD have significant but opposite spatial effects of growth; inclusion of FDI raises the speed of conditional conver- gence of economic growth in YRD and PRD; positively spatial spillover of growth occurs in both regimes of YRD, while negatively spatial spillover for the case of PRD.
出处
《数量经济技术经济研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2013年第12期3-20,共18页
Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics
基金
中国人民大学决策咨询及预研委托项目(12XNQ067)的资助
关键词
FDI溢
出效应
大长三角
大珠三角
FDI
Spillovers
Yangtze River Delta
Pearl River Delta