摘要
基于1988-2011年重庆市统计年鉴数据,利用港口货物吞吐量和进出口总额作为衡量港口物流和国际贸易的指标,通过VAR模型、Granger因果检验以及脉冲响应图等方法,分析重庆港口物流与国际贸易之间的关系,得出结论:重庆港口物流与国际贸易之间保持长期均衡稳定发展,两者之间存在着单向因果关系,并且国际贸易对于港口物流的拉动效应大于港口物流对于国际贸易的推动效应。针对此结论,对重庆相关部门提出了对策建议。
In this paper, on the basis of the data in the statistical annuls of Chongqing between 1988 and 2011 and using port cargo throughput and total import and export volume as the measurement index of port logistics and international trade, we used VAR model, Granger causal test and pulse response chart to analyze the relationship between port logistics and international trade in Chongqing, reached several conclusions and accordingly proposed suggestions and countermeasures for the authorities of Chongqing.
出处
《物流技术》
北大核心
2013年第9期182-184,共3页
Logistics Technology
