摘要
评估新农保与家庭代际支持的互动关系是衡量新农保政策绩效的关键问题之一。本文利用2008年与2011年"中国老年健康影响因素跟踪调查"数据,通过固定效应面板模型以及PSMDD等方法控制住老人参保行为的内生性和样本选择偏误,研究发现,新农保在增进农村老人福利水平的同时,对于家庭代际经济支持有着显著的"挤出效应",老人领取的养老金在均值基础上每增加1元时,其子女提供的代际支持将减少0.808元;与未参保老人相比,2011年参保老人所获得的子女代际支持金额相对减少了587.1元/年,占同期领取养老金收益的62.4%。由此可见新农保的主要受益人是老人的子女,主要政策绩效是减轻了子女的养老负担。
One of the key questions in evaluation of the performance of the New Rural Society Endowment Insurance Program （NSEI） in China is that how the intergenerational transfers among families will change along with the NSEI reform. Based on Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey （CLHLS） and econometric methods of IV, FE, and PSMDD, the results show that NSEI has significant replacement, or ＂crowding out＂, effects on intergenerational transfers among Chinese families in rural areas. A dollar of pension is associated with a reduction of 80. 8 cents of intergenerational transfers from adult children. The elders who attended NSEI received 587. 1 RMB, on average, less transfers from adult children in 2011 compared with those who did not attend NSEI, which amounts to 62.4 percent of public pensions by NES1 at the same period. Thus, we argue that adult children benefit more from NSEI compared with their old-age parents. The major outcome of NSEI is the alleviation of aged-supporting burden on adult children, rather than the increase of benefit level of elderly.
出处
《经济研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2013年第8期55-67,160,共14页
Economic Research Journal
基金
国家自科基金国际合作重大项目(批准号:71110107025)
教育部人文社科重点研究基地重大项目(批准号:2009JJD790001)
国家社科基金重大项目(批准号:12&ZD048)
教育部人文社科青年项目(批准号:10YJC790021)
湖南省自科基金一般项目(批准号:11JJ3093)
湖南省教育厅社科项目(批准号:201211000603006)资助
关键词
新农保
家庭代际支持
挤出效应
养老金
农村老人
New Rural Society Endowment Insurance
Rural Old-Age Population
Intergenerational Transfers
Crowding Out Effect
Public Pension
