摘要
通过探索,本文提出了利用大地形变测量资料预报地震的系统方法,称之为测报动态系统。该系统包括资料预处理、数据拟合、滑动外推、聚类分析、综合评判等多个环节。在系统工程学理论的指导下,本文给出了该系统内各子系统间逻辑关系的一种组合,并进行了地震预报的尝试,显示了利用系统工程学理论进行地震预报和安全判定有着良好的前景。
After exploration, this paper has proposed a systematic method for predicting earthquakes using the data of geodetic deformation survey, that is called as the dynamic 'survey-prediction' system. This system includes many links, such as: data pre-processing, data fitting, sliding extrapolation, clustering analysis and synthetic evaluation. Under the guidance of systematic engineering theory, the author has here introduced a combination of logic relation among all subsystems within this system, carried out the trial of earthquake prediction. Results show that it is of captivating future to use the systematic eagineering theory to do earthquake prediction and safty assessment.
出处
《地震》
CSCD
北大核心
1991年第3期22-30,36,共10页
Earthquake
