摘要
针对目前海上船舶污染风险评估模型的不足,本文提出一种基于船舶自动识别系统(AIS)的海上船舶污染风险定量评估数学模型。该模型的特点是对特定海域船舶污染历史事故进行统计分析,通过AIS中的信息对船舶事故频率进行建模及数值计算;并且模型考虑到事故海域资源类型,船舶种类、大小、风险程度以及污染事故等级等因素,使污染风险评估更科学化和定量化。
In order to overcome the defects of the present risk assessment model of the pollution from ships, a mathematic model of quantitative risk assessment based on AIS was set forth in the paper. The model is characterized by the specific, sea area historical a- nalysis of pollution vessels accidents statistics. Based on getting the information of vessels traffic, vessels typ4.s and ship size ete from AIS, the model calculated the frequency of vessels accidents. Taking into account various factors such as water of sea, classification of accidents, vessels risk ranking and so on, the results of the model could be more scientific and quantitative.
出处
《测绘科学》
CSCD
北大核心
2013年第3期137-139,共3页
Science of Surveying and Mapping
基金
李尚大集美大学学科建设基金资助项目(ZC2010010)
交通运输部海事局科技项目(0706-11400003N010)
福建省教育厅基金资助项目(JA09147)
关键词
船舶污染风险
船舶自动识别系统(AIS)
定量评估模型
高风险船舶
maritime pollution risk
Automatic Identification System （AIS）
model of quantitative assessment
high risk vessels
