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中小企业联合担保贷款的计算实验金融分析 被引量:18

Analysis of scale in SME joint guarantee loans using agent-based computational experiment finance
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摘要 中小企业在为国民经济做出越来越大贡献的过程中,却一直面临着信贷难问题.从政府角度出发,采用基于计算实验金融的多Agent仿真技术构建了违约成本——社会信用环境模型和选择策略概率模型,分析了联合担保中的企业数量规模以及信用环境对银行—中小企业信贷行为的影响.发现数量规模和信用环境对于信贷行为的影响机制,进而提出了相应的政策建议,以期能为政府解决中小企业融资难问题提供决策参考. Though more and more contributions the SMEs have made for our national economy, they are always confronting credit difficulties. From the perspective of the government, using the multiple-agent simulation technology based on computational experimental finance, the paper builds a default cost-social credit environment model and a probability model of the selection strategy, and analyzes the scale in SME joint guarantee loans and the influences of the credit conditions for the credit conduct of the bank-SMEs. We found the mech- anism for effects of the scale and the credit conditions on the credit conduct, and made further policy sugges- tions, hoping to provide some decision references for the government to solve the difficulties of the SMEs credit problems.
出处 《管理科学学报》 CSSCI 北大核心 2013年第3期88-94,共7页 Journal of Management Sciences in China
基金 国家自然科学基金资助项目(70603021 71131007) 教育部创新团队发展计划资助项目(IRT1028) 教育部博士点基金资助项目(20060056013) 中国科学院自动化研究所复杂系统与智能科学重点实验室开放课题资助项目(20080107)
关键词 中小企业贷款 联合担保 计算实验金融 信用环境 SMEs loan joint guarantee agent-based computational experiment finance credit condition
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