摘要
目前,东盟成员国中已有新加坡、文莱、越南和马来西亚先后正式加入TPP谈判。由于上述四国无论在经济发展与开放程度还堤在对外政策上都有明显差别,因此,它们加入和推动TPP谈判的动机虽有相似之处,但也存在较大差异,从而决定了它们将在推动TPP谈判中发挥不同的作用。文章结合东盟四国国内政治经济环境、发展战略及利益诉求,详细剖析了各自加入TPP的具体动因,给出其在当前谈判进程中的角色定位,并在此基础上对中国的策略选择提出了具体政策建议,即在短期内应“静以待变”应对TPP,中长期则应以“层次清晰、区别对待”的原则处理与东盟及其各成员国的关系。
At present,several ASEAN member states,including Singapore,Brunei,Vietnam,and Malaysia have officially joined TPP negotiations.As there are major discrepancies across these four states with respect to level of economic development and openness and foreign policy,it is quite clear that their individual motivations for joining and promoting TPP negotiations are different,and that they will play different roles in the course of negotiations.This article considers the domestic political economy of these four states,their development strategies and interests to analyze in detail the motivations of each for joining TPP,and to determine the role they will play in negotiations.On the basis of this analysis,it offers specific policy recommendations for China,namely that over the short term it should quietly take a wait and see approach to TPP,while over the mid to long term it should develop individual responses to ASEAN members states based on their respective involvement.
出处
《当代亚太》
CSSCI
北大核心
2013年第1期101-124,159-160,共24页
Journal of Contemporary Asia-Pacific Studies