摘要
本文运用叠加原理综合分析了电力需求变化的渐进性与周期性两大特点,进而引申出一种更加科学合理的组合式预测技术来解决短期电力需求预测的实际问题,为电力交易提供了有力的依据与指导,从而进一步提高了我国电力市场的运转效率。
This paper analyzes two characteristics of changes in electricity demand based on the principle of superposition, and than puts forwards a modular trend extrapolation tech- nique to forecast electricity demand. In electricity trading, this technology provides a strong basis and guidance, and can improve the operational efficiency of the electricity market in China further.
出处
《山东电力高等专科学校学报》
2012年第3期14-16,共3页
Journal of Shandong Electric Power College
关键词
叠加原理
二次平滑法
电力需求
principle of superposition
second exponential smoothing method
electricity demand