摘要
通过实证研究和定性分析相结合的方法,探讨了基于情景分析的城市空间结构规划的一般流程,即包括背景分析、因素识别、情景模拟、测试评价和确定战略等五个步骤。并以岚皋县城为例,在情景规划分析的基础上提出"一个中心城区、两个外围组团"的空间格局模式。城市空间结构的情景规划分析方法使规划方案更具严肃性和灵活性,对于解决城市空间发展的不确定性问题具有重要的意义。
According to the method of the empirical research and qualitative analysis,the general processes were studied for urban spatial structure planning based on the scenario analysis.The scenario analysis included five stages: background analysis,factor identification,scenario simulation,testing evaluation and strategies defining.A new spatial pattern model of 'a central urban area,two external tours' was introduced to study the Langao County.The scenario planning method for urban spatial structure analysis made the planning more seriousness and flexibility.The model was of great significance to solve the uncertainty problem of the development of urban space.
出处
《干旱区资源与环境》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2012年第8期31-36,共6页
Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment
基金
陕西省教育厅专项科研计划项目(08JK168)
陕西省社会科学界重大理论与现实问题研究项目(2011C058)资助