摘要
基于环境库兹涅茨曲线构建能源—经济—碳排放关系的碳排放模型,采用面板协整检验和面板因果关系检验方法,对东盟五国1971～2007年能源消费、经济增长与碳排放三者关系进行实证分析。结果表明,能源消费与经济增长之间在短期和长期均存在单向的格兰杰因果关系。另外,能源消费与二氧化碳排放之间在短期和长期也都存在单向的格兰杰因果关系。
A carbon emission model is built based on the EKC for the relationship between energy, economy and carbon emission. With the panel co-integration test and the panel causality test as the test method, an empirical analysis is conducted for the relationship among energy consumption, economic growth and carbon emission in five ASEAN nations from 1971 to 2007. The results show that there is one-way Granger causality relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in both short-term and long-term manner. In addition, there is one-way Granger causality relationship between energy consumption and carbon dioxide release in both short term and long-term manner.
出处
《创新》
2012年第3期82-86,128,共5页
Innovation
基金
福建省社科规划基金<低碳经济下能源-经济-环境(3E)协调发展状态研究>(2010B054)
汕头大学科研启动基金<东盟五国能源消费
经济增长与碳排放研究>
