摘要
为了考核备选设计方案在不确定性因素影响下能够提供的综合能力,通过运用基于区间数层次分析法(AHP)和鲁棒技术(RD)的概率多准则决策方法(MCDM),对传统军用飞机总体方案评估中系统效能评估方法进行概率化处理,形成设计方案收益可实现性(EPACS)评估方法.本文首先对收益可实现性的基本定义及其相关数学模型进行说明,随后,在考虑飞机设计方案中各设计/状态变量相互关系的前提下,构建了飞机设计方案收益可实现性的层次分析结构模型和评估流程.最后,利用算例分析检验了上述分析模型的可用性和有效性.
To examine the integration capability of candidate schemes under the condition of uncertainty,the probability multiple-criteria decision-making（MCDM） method,which is based on interval number analytic hierarchy process（AHP） and the robust design（RD）,has been introduced to the effectiveness evaluation of aircraft conceptual/preliminary scheme,and the evaluation method of the Efficiency Practicability of Aircraft Conceptual/Preliminary Scheme（EPACS） has been founded.At first,the basic definition and correlative mathematics model of EPACS was made up.And then,taking into account of the correlation of all design/state variables in aircraft scheme,the structural model and the evaluation flow of EPACS was established.At last,the feasibility and validity of the above analysis had been proved by some examples.
出处
《哈尔滨工业大学学报》
EI
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2012年第3期132-136,共5页
Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology
基金
"航空基础科学基金"资助项目(03B51038)
关键词
不确定性
概率多准则决策方法
收益可实现性
uncertainty
probability multiple-criteria decision-making（MCDM） method
efficiency practicability
