摘要
失业是市场经济条件下不可避免的社会风险。失业保险是解决失业所产生的不利因素的社会机制,对一国的社会保障和福利水平有重要的作用。本文通过建立误差修正模型,对我国失业保险支出与城镇失业率的相互关系进行研究。我国失业保险与城镇失业率之间存在着双向格兰杰因果关系,即失业保险支出的增加会导致城镇失业率的增加,城镇失业率的增加会引起失业保险支出的增加。另外,我国失业保险支出的变动对城镇失业率的影响是正激励与负激励并存。
Unemployment is inevitable social risks under the conditions of market economy.And the unemployment insurance is the social system to solve the negative effect produced by unemployment,so it has an important impact on social security and welfare level.The paper analyzes the relationship between the unemployed insurance expenses and the urban unemployment rate by establishing error correction model of our country.And there is two-way granger causality between the unemployed insurance expense and the urban unemployment rate,what is to say,the growth of unemployed insurance expense can bring about the growth of urban unemployment rate,the growth of urban unemployment rate can also bring about the growth of unemployed insurance expense.In addition,the unemployed insurance expense has not only a positive influence on urban unemployment rate,but also a negative influence.
出处
《人口与经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2012年第2期49-53,92,共6页
Population & Economics
基金
"新疆社会保障与金融问题实证研究"(140783)
关键词
新疆
城镇失业率
失业保险支出
误差修正
Xinjiang
the urban unemployment rate
the unemployed insurance expenses
the error correction model
