摘要
本文构建二阶段非均衡增长模型,将农业统一纳入分析框架,分析劳动力在我国三次产业间违规律流动现象,进而寻找我国经济服务化进程缓慢的原因和解决办法。研究表明:由于阶段间要素替代弹性不同和服务业存在"天花板效应",我国当前经济服务化路径表现为"去农业化"而非"去工业化",服务业低层次发展现状短期内将无法突破。本文支持中国服务业比重长期过低的主要原因是服务业市场长期局限于本地化市场及其容量的观点,并进一步指出服务业发展所需要的劳动力要素供给不足是导致我国服务业比重长期过低的直接原因。为了加快经济服务化进程,急需解决我国生产者服务业发展滞后的问题。
This paper constructs a two-stage unbalanced growth model that includes agricultureindustry to analyze the deep causes of the violation of labor mobility pattern, so that to find the obstructive factors and solutions of services industry development. The difference of the elasticity of substitution between stages and ＂ceiling effect＂ of Services leads to the result that the path of services economic is ＂de-agriculturization＂ rather than ＂de-industrialization＂. The undeveloped status of services in China will continue for a long time. This study supports the viewpoint that the main reason for the small proportion of services industry in China is the limitation of services industry to localized market. This paper further views the sectional shortage of workforce in services industry as direct reason for the slow development of service industry. To speed up the process of China＇s service economy, insufficient development of producer services need to be solved.
出处
《财贸经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2012年第3期103-111,共9页
Finance & Trade Economics
基金
教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目“扩大内需条件下提高长三角对外开放水平研究”(编号11JJD790036)的阶段性研究成果
关键词
非均衡增长
替代弹性
劳动力流动
天花板效应
生产者服务业
Unbalanced Growth, Elasticity of Substitution, Labor Mobility
Ceiling Effect,Producer Services
