摘要
将电网建设项目视为统一整体,分析了项目的进度风险管理过程,构造了相应的因果关系循环图。运用系统动力学建立了电网建设项目的进度风险管理模型。结合输电线路安装项目实例,模拟了进度风险发生后,风险处理时间长短的不同对项目目标的不同影响,能够为电网建设项目管理者确定最优风险处理时长的决策提供定量化的依据。
With the grid construction project as an integrated whole,this paper analyzes the overall process of the project schedule risk management,and constructs the corresponding causality cyclic graph.Furthermore,a grid construction project schedule risk management model has been developed based on system dynamics.In combination with a case of transmission line installation project,simulation was made about the different effects on project objectives due to the different risk treatment duration after the schedule risk emergence.The research outcomes can provide grid project managers with quantitative guidance for determining the optimal schedule risk treatment duration.
出处
《华东电力》
北大核心
2012年第2期178-182,共5页
East China Electric Power
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(71071054)~~
关键词
电网建设项目
进度风险
风险处理时长
系统动力学
grid construction project
schedule risk
risk treatment duration
system dynamics
