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应对中美贸易摩擦的预警机制研究——基于AHP方法的预警分析 被引量:1

A Research On Forewarning Mechanism Against Sino-US Trade Friction——a forewarning analysis based on AHP
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摘要 中美贸易对两国政治经济关系至关重要,而频发的贸易摩擦严重影响了双边经贸关系的正常发展。本文采用AHP方法对2001—2010年中美贸易摩擦状况进行量化,得出了2001—2010年中美贸易摩擦水平的综合得分,并确定了相应的警界值。结果显示,自中国加入WTO以来中美贸易摩擦一直处于警戒区,并在2006年开始进入了中警和重警警度的徘徊区,中美贸易摩擦状况令人堪忧。为此,要打破中美贸易不平衡,减少中国对美国的贸易依存度,转变中国的贸易增长方式,进一步完善贸易摩擦预警机制。 Sino-US trade is crucial to political and economic relations of the two countries. However, the frequent trade frictions have seriously affected the normal development of the bilateral economic and trade relations. The approach of AHP is adopted to quantify the Sino-US trade frictions from the year of 2001 to 2010 to produce a total score of the trade frictions and the alarm value. The result shows that since China’s entry to the WTO the Sino-US trade friction has been in the warning area. And in 2006 it frequented the middle and top warning area, as shows that Sino-US trade friction situation is worrying. Therefore, such measures should be taken to break the trade imbalance as reducing China’s trade dependence on the United States, changing China’s trade growth mode and further improving the forewarning mechanism for trade frictions.
出处 《理论学刊》 CSSCI 北大核心 2012年第1期36-40,127,共5页 Theory Journal
基金 山东省社会科学规划重点项目"加快山东生态省建设的综合决策研究"(项目编号:09CJGJ28)的阶段性研究成果
关键词 贸易摩擦 预警机制 AHP trade friction forewarning mechanisms AHP
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