摘要
在虚拟经济规模不断扩大的背景下,以1999年第一季度至2010年第三季度我国虚拟经济与实体经济各代表变量的数据为样本,考察了虚拟经济与实体经济之间的联动效应。研究发现,长期内我国虚拟经济与实体经济之间存在联动效应,尽管短期内虚拟经济对实体经济的发展存在负向冲击,但长期内虚拟经济发展对实体经济的影响显著,且对实体经济发展变化的解释程度不断提高。从我国经济发展的实际来看,必须有效发挥虚拟经济与实体经济之间双向促进机制的作用。
The coupling effects of Chinese fictitious economy and real economy are analyzed based on the representative variables＇ data from the first quarter of 1999 to the third quarter of 2010.The results show that there are coupling effects between Chinese fictitious economy and real economy in the long term;and although there is negative impact of the fictitious economy on real economy in the short term,the fictitious economy influences the real economy significantly in the long run and the contribution rate of fictitious economy to real economy is increasing.It is necessary to take the effects of the two-way promotion mechanism between the fictitious economy and real economy based on Chinese economic development.
出处
《山西财经大学学报》
CSSCI
北大核心
2011年第5期10-19,共10页
Journal of Shanxi University of Finance and Economics
基金
江苏省社会科学基金(社科研究基地)重点项目(项目编号:09JD001)
江苏省高校哲学社会科学研究基金项目(项目编号:09SJD790069)
关键词
虚拟经济
实体经济
联动效应
资本市场
金融衍生品市场
fictitious economy
real economy
coupling effects
capital market
financial derivatives market
