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基于公交准时化的时刻表制定方法研究 被引量:5

Calculation Method of Timetable Based on Punctual Transit
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摘要 公交准时化是公共交通发展的必然趋势,公交到站时刻表是公交准时化的具体体现,制定公交时刻表既能提高了公交的运营效率,又提升了公交服务水平,同时为乘客提供了更为准确的辅助信息。本文提出两种时刻表计算模型,由对公交车跟车调查的数据,得到公交车在相关站点间的行程时间,再对该行程时间进行分析统计,得出相应的期望与95%置信区间,最后选择计算模型得到公交车在各站点的到站时刻表,并对时刻表信息的发布作了介绍。 Punctual transit is the tendency of public transportation. Transit timetable will improve its service level as well as operational efficiency, providing more details for passengers to make better choice. This passage proposes two timetable calculation models. The travel time of any adjacent stations is obtained from cartracking statistics. Using statistical analysis of travel time, its expectation and 95% confidence interval are calculated. Finally timetable is made through a calculating model. This paper also introduces the release of timetable information.
出处 《城市公共交通》 2010年第10期32-36,共5页 Urban Public Transport
关键词 公交时刻表 到站间隔 行程时间 Transit Timetable Arrival Interval Travel Time
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