摘要
运用计量经济学中的协整理论和Granger因果检验理论,研究了1980~2008年河北省经济增长与能源消费之间的关系。结果表明,它们之间是长期均衡关系,且存在能源消费对经济增长的单向因果关系。河北省能源强度明显高于全国平均水平,且以煤炭为主,需进行能源多元化发展,并提高能源效率和进行产业结构调整。
In this paper,co-integration analysis and Granger causality estimation in econometrics were used to study the relationship of the gross domestic product（GDP） and energy consumption（TEC） amount in Hebei province from 1980 to 2008.Results showed that there was a stable equilibrium relation between Hebei province＇s gross domestic product and energy consumption in the long run.The energy intensity obviously was higher than national average level and it should take coal as the main target to promote energy diversification,improve energy efficiency and adjust industrial organization.
出处
《安徽农业科学》
CAS
北大核心
2011年第5期3099-3100,3144,共3页
Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences
基金
2010年度河北省社会科学基金项目(HB10XGL024)
关键词
经济增长
能源消费
协整检验
误差修正模型
Economic growth
Energy consumption
Co-integration test
Error correction model
