摘要
文章运用综合发展指数、协调发展度和GM(1,N)模型对2000—2008年上海的经济发展方式转型进行研究,结果表明,虽然2000年以来,上海的经济发展综合指数和系统协调发展指数呈现上升趋势,但一直到2007年才真正实现经济发展方式的转型;在经济转型中,经济系统受到社会系统发展水平的制约;上海目前的社会保障对经济总量的发展存在负面作用;在所有驱动因子中,人口素质的提升与环境治理的加强对经济总量的作用最为明显;而环境保护和创新成果对经济总量的驱动作用还有潜力可挖。最后,提出相应的对策。
The paper uses comprehensive development index,coordinated development degree and GM（1,N） model to study transition of Shanghai＇s economic development during 2000-2008.The results showed that,since 2000,the Shanghai composite index of economic development and coordinated development index show upward trend,but until 2007 real way to achieve the transition of economic development;In economic transition,the development level of the economic system was under constraint by the social system;the current social security in Shanghai put negative impact on the economic development;the improvement of population quality and environmental governance strengthen the overall economy most obviously in all drives;and environmental protection and innovation driving the effect on the total economy have the potential to be tapped.The corresponding measures are proposed in the end.
出处
《华东经济管理》
CSSCI
2010年第9期1-6,共6页
East China Economic Management
基金
国务院重大委托课题(1760900020)
关键词
经济转型
综合发展指数
协调发展度
GM(1
N)模型
上海
transition of economic development
comprehensive development index
coordinated development degree
GM（1
N） model
Shanghai
